The Rise of Dubai: Prosperity Amidst Conflict
DUBAI – As conflict casts a shadow across the Middle East, people are getting rich in Dubai. The desert sheikdom’s economy is buzzing with tourism and construction as it positions itself as a safe haven in a region that’s resting on a knife’s edge following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Iran.
“Dubai is in a very unique position. We happen to be the net beneficiary of crises in the region, for good or bad,” Zhann Jochinke, the chief operating officer of real estate consultancy Property Monitor, told The Associated Press.
Dubai has a long history of indirectly benefiting from crises in the region. When the ultra-wealthy worry about turmoil, the city offers stability, low taxes, and a friendly visa system.
The current turmoil has situated Dubai to capitalize once again, as it did during the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Demand is running red hot in Dubai’s real estate market, catapulting glitzy properties to record-breaking valuations. Not even historic flooding in April could dampen the bull market.
State-backed Emaar Properties, whose name is splashed across Dubai’s skyline, announced that its development business made $8.1 billion in sales through the first half of the year, up from $5.2 billion over the same time period last year.
Meanwhile, Dubai International Airport — the world’s busiest for international travel — saw a record 44.9 million travelers in the first half of this year. Dubai plans to move operations to a nearly $35 billion new airport in the next decade.
“We are heading for a forecast number for the balance of the year of 91.8 million passengers through DXB, which is again another record for us,” Dubai Airports CEO Paul Griffiths told the AP.
Some 9.3 million tourists visited the global hub through the first half of the year, beating pre-pandemic heights, according to research from the Dubai government-owned bank Emirates NBD.
The city state’s population has grown from 3.2 million in 2018 to nearly 3.7 million in 2024, with an additional 1.1 million who temporarily live in the city or commute there for work each day. The hereditary monarchy seeks to increase Dubai’s population to 5.8 million by 2040.
But some analysts are asking just how long the record-breaking upswing can last.
Some warned that an oversupply of housing could eventually slow the market if demand does not keep pace.
Developers have already completed over 6,000 housing units through the first half of the year and are expected to finish building another 20,000 by the end of the year, according to the state-run WAM news agency.
“They are big numbers, but they’re being absorbed,” said Property Monitor’s Jochinke. “People are buying them.”
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